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February 25, 2008 ...Cal and Stanford played tonight at Palo Alto. Ryan Anderson had a bad night while Brook Lopez tried to convince me further that he is as good as the hype.  On this night—he was by far the best player on the floor. Devon Hardin fouled out after scoring five points, and grabbing just five boards. ..Anderson did make all ten of his free throw attempts but truthfully he looked overmatched. ...Cal’s shot selection and offensive spacing was horrendous. Jerome Randle has the tools to be effective as does Patrick Christopher—but those dudes need to check themselves for some of the ill advised jacks. How about playing Anderson at the THREE with Harper Kamp at the FOUR, and Hardin at FIVE? Kamp is too good to only be playing 17 minutes. ...Stanford is going to give trouble to any team that lacks BIGS. Once Hardin fouled out - Brook Lopez became unstoppable. ...Also watched the Kings lose in Orlando. I wish Reggie Theus would show some trust in Shelden Williams. I want Shelden to play about 35 minutes in a game - let him get a flow going. ...How about the Pistons beating Phoenix by 30 in Phoenix? ...Make it 16-0 for the Houston Rockets when Carl Landry plays 12 minutes or more. ...My Fave Five Minnesota Timberwolves of all time: 1. Kevin Garnett, 2. Terrell Brandon, 3. Dean Garrett, 4. Al Jefferson, 5. Malik Sealy.

 

February 24, 2008 ...We have a new number one in college hoops. Tennessee got `er done in the showdown between #1 & #2. Maybe I’m too hard on teams because I thought both Memphis and Tennessee were not very good tonight. Furthermore—I don’t see either team cutting down the nets at this year’s NCAA Championship. Memphis basically just tries to break teams down off the dribble. When that one-on-one plan doesn’t develop they kick to a three point shooter. They settle for WAY TOO MANY jump shots. Derrick Rose played well for the Tigers. I still think he is overrated but he played well tonight. Coach John Calipari didn’t get much tonight from Chris Douglas Roberts or Joey Dorsey. ...Tennessee meanwhile was bolstered by the energy of J.P. Prince. On a night where Chris Lofton was 2-11 from the field - the Volunteers still found a way to win. Lofton can’t create his own shot. ...The Houston Rockets are now 15-0 when Carl Landry plays 12 minutes or more.  ...Kudos to Brad Miller for all the work he did in the summer to be ready to excel this season. That is pro’s pro stuff. ...Francisco Garcia is in a groove right now. When he releases a three point shot—I expect it to go in. ...Saw the movie Vantage Point. I thought it was hokey. Save your money. ...Glad to have Saturday Night Live back on TV.

 

February 21, 2008 ...The Rockets are 14-0 when Carl Landry plays 12 minutes or more. ...So the trading deadline has passed and there were some crazy deals. A quick digestion of the eleven player deal between Chicago, Cleveland, and Seattle? I love Delonte West —always have. I like his skill set and I like the way he plays. So I give the Cavs kudos for making what I feel is a major point guard upgrade for their team. In the short term - Joe Smith as a Cav is a help too. I am not on the Ben Wallace bandwagon in 2008. His best days are behind him so the Cavs may have blundered there. However, the Cavs improved big time in the back-up department if you think about Wally Szczerbiak playing the minutes that Ira Newble was getting. Overall—The Cavs are winners here. ... Chicago should be happy they got rid of Big Ben and his fat contract. But I can’t say I like what they acquired. Drew Gooden has slipped in my eyes, and so has Larry Hughes. Chicago’s hope is that Hughes will somehow return to his pre-Cavs form when he was an efficient scorer for the Wizards. ...Seattle just traded to get a bunch of expiring contracts. I call them losers in this because they traded West today and Kurt Thomas yesterday. ...None of the other deals today really will make any difference. I did like Houston getting a 2nd round pick in this year’s draft from New Orleans. ...One historical aspect to think about when evaluating current college talent is the case of Juan Dixon who was traded AGAIN today. I sure thought he would be a better pro player. He has a sweet  jumper. He plays defense. But he is a 6’3” shooting guard that relies more on the perimeter shot than putting the ball on the floor and getting to the hole. I see similar qualities in current Tennessee Guard Chris Lofton. 

 

February 19, 2008 ...I’m not sold on Brandon Roy playing Small Forward in Portland. It certainly did not work tonight as the Kings bruising SF Ron Artest dominated him physically. Now, Artest over-matching someone is nothing new but fundamentally I never like to see guys under 6’7” playing the THREE spot. Why? Simply because of size and presence. I would want my team to be physically stronger which is hard to do giving up size. Rebounding can also be a factor. Guys 6’7” to 6’9” are generally better rebounders than guys 6’6”.  Does playing a smaller guy at the THREE work sometimes? It does. But in the long-run what is gained in quickness with the shorter player at SF is not worth the rebounding given up, and the defensive liability it can create. Look at the tape. Roy didn’t even want to get near Artest around the basket when Ron-Ron was scrapping for a ball. Understandable from a Guard’s perspective but as a Forward you are expected to give your team some toughness. Some 6’5” and 6’6” guys can play SF because they are naturally drawn to contact and not shy about mixing it up (Andres Nocioni comes to mind) - I don’t see B. Roy that way at all. He is a Guard. A leader, a skill guy, a finesse guy. ...As I always preach - NBA basketball is a game of inches; one or two plays can win or lose a game. So you play the percentages, use your common sense, and learn from history. 

NBA Finals winning teams usually  have a SF 6’7” or bigger that shoots at least 33% from the three-point line.

 

·          2007 SA - Bruce Bowen 6’7” career 39% 3 pt%

·          2006 MIA - Antoine Walker 6’9” career 32.5% 3 pt%

·          2005 SA — Bowen

·          2004 DET - Tayshaun Prince 6’9” career 37% 3 pt%

·          2003 SA - Bowen

·          2002 LAL - Rick Fox 6’7” career 34.9% 3 pt%. Robert Horry

·          2001 LAL - Horry 6’10” career 34.3% 3 pt.%

·          2000 LAL - Glen Rice 6’8” career 40% 3 pt%

·          1999 SA - Jaren Jackson 6’6” career 35% 3 pt.%

·          1998 CHI - Scottie Pippen 6’8” career 32.6% 3 pt%1997 CHI  - Pippen

·          1996 CHI - Pippen

·          1995 HOU - Horry

·          1994 HOU - Horry

·          1993 CHI - Pippen

 

What the above list  says to me is that at the NBA level - a SF that can stretch defenses (as proven by the 33% number), yet also bring decent size (at least 6’7” or 6’6” with super long arms) which should lead to better team rebounding, is the way to go. ...So Portland should… Play Steve Blake (1), Roy (2), Travis Outlaw (3), LeMarcus Aldridge (4), and Joel Pryzbilla (5). Outlaw is 6’9” and is shooting 39% from long range this season. Bring Jarrett Jack off the bench for Blake, and Martell Webster off for Outlaw. Channing Frye can sub for either Aldridge or Pryzbilla. On nights where Blake or Jack look flat - give Sergio Rodriguez some time to provide energy. ...It’s all so simple over here : )))